If anyone was looking to yesterday's primaries as a bellwether, good luck. Sometimes crazy wins, sometimes it doesn't. In some states, the Dems helped the crazier Republican, in the hopes that he or she will be easier to run against, while in some GOP-dominated states, the crazier candidate won the party primary on their own.
What does this tell us about the general election? Not much. I don't expect surprises; I expect the usual parties to do as well as usual in their usual states. I'm with the numbers people at fivethirtyeight in not expecting a huge change in the House or Senate balance and it still looks barely too close to call which party will have a narrow edge in which chamber. Don't look for any sweeping mandates. And while there may be a message to the lawmakers in that, I don't think they'll bother to read it.
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