Some commenters tell me to calm down about the politics; one guy claimed that the country had "suffered greatly" under President Biden, and what was ahead was going to be much, much better.
Better hang onto your hat, buster -- especially if it was made overseas, which is likely. Ask the longshoremen; ask the truckers: goods move much more slowly than a President's whim, but the flow is dwindling and will come to a near stop by and by. We "ain't seen nothing yet," in the most literal sense: China-made stuff is going to vanish long before there's anything to replace it, and we'll have plenty of nothing in the meantime.
Adam Smith wasn't wrong. Trade will still move. But it will have to pivot. If a factory in Country C can churn out out blivets for a nickel each, and people in Country A are willing to pay five bucks apiece, once tariff barriers go up there's still a market at six-fifty per when somebody sets up a warehouse in low- or no-tariff Country B where they buy blivets from C, stamp 'em with the complex and unmistakable sigil of Country B Blivet Works, and export them to Country A. But it takes time to set that up, especially since whoever's doing the stamping needs to get it done for no more than a few cents if they're going to turn a profit. And when it's got to be done in a hurry, on everything from saucepans to sponges to steering wheels? Ouch. We're going to have a summer of empty shelves and if we're lucky, the five and dime will be restocking stuff, junk and sundries at only slightly inflated prices in time to make a head start on Christmas shopping.
It's going to be ugly. Even if the Administration finds a way to blink on tariffs and claim victory -- and they're good at that, a sleight-of-mind with a couple centuries of polishing in Washington -- there's a big glitch coming, one that will do damage to a country and society I hold dear.
Damage to the big Commissions and Departments being savaged and hacked by a half-baked bunch of "efficiency experts" culled from Silicon Valley is likely to be more lasting. They're heaving institutional knowledge overboard with zero regard, and by the time those chickens come home to roost, the "experts" will be long gone. Many of us have seen smaller versions of it in our workplaces and the outcome is rarely an improvement. It's not going to be an improvement when it's Grandma's health care and Social Security, Junior's baby formula and your tax return. Political meddling is destroying the stable future I was counting on for my own retirement, and I resent the hell out of it.
Look, Joe Biden was what you get when you ask Central Casting for an Elder Statesman Democrat President, and Kamala Harris is who they send as the Next Generation of the same thing. But they took their jobs seriously and put in an honest day's work. The 2024 election was Herbert Hoover or Harry Truman vs. Mussolini, a choice between George Bush (either one) or Stalin: neither candidate was a perfect wonderful choice, but one of them was much, much worse, and hadn't made any secret of it. That was the test my country was put to, and we failed it.
I'm not going to try holding my tongue until the the problem passes -- because I am none too sure it will pass at all, especially if nobody's willing to get out and push. Congress is too damn comfortable; they have been for years. There are very few things that will rile up enough Senators and Representatives to get a plurality of them engaged in vigorous debate, let alone take action. It's why they're all so happy with stalemate, with tiny majorities who can make a valid-seeming claim to the utter, futile impossibility of accomplishing anything, as they yawn, turn over, and let the White House run unbalanced and unchecked. It's up to you and me to do what we can. I won't miss a vote -- and I won't shut up, either.
There are other things to write about here and I will pursue them. But politics will keep on coming up as long as it's a problem, and it's unlikely to stop being a problem for the next several years.