Ever bend a hard plastic rod? Many plastics will go quite a ways, and then, all of a sudden-- They break.
Mr. Trump's Republican party is courting chaos like a lovestruck teenager.
In Missouri, both sides were playing chess -- until one side pulled out a baseball bat. The legislature passed a bill to rearrange Federal House districts, with a map that will flip one of the two usually-Democratic districts in favor of Republicans. Opponents fought back, with a ballot-initiative petition drive to put the new map up for a statewide vote. You can do that in Missouri, but it takes a pile of signatures, and they've got to come from at least six of the state's eight House districts.
In fact, it takes a tick over 100,000 signatures. The petitioners have collected well over 300,000, from all eight districts. So it'll almost certainly go on the ballot, and per established precedent, the law is frozen once enough signatures have been turned in, while Missourians wait until it is determined if the signature requirements have officially been met, and until they've had a chance to vote on it if the number beat the minimum.
The Republican Secretary of State says no; even if there are enough signatures, he can just declare the referendum unconstitutional all by himself. And if so, the whole thing goes off the courts to work out. It's not how the Show Me state has dealt with similar referenda in the past. The power to shout, "Allee, allee, oxen-free," and dump the process has never been asserted by the Missouri Secretary of State before. It seems, well, not the way a proper Republic goes about such things. It's high-handed. Authoritarian.
In a state whose citizens are nationally famous for mulishness, it might not be the course of action that a sober, cautious politician should choose.
I guess we'll find out. Bending, bending-- Whattaya think? Snap, or will it stay bent? And what gets that treatment next?
It feels like the lights are about to start going out, like the walls are closing in. There's a lot of ruin in a big, well-established country, but there's no damn requirement to test that proposition to destruction.
Update
11 months ago
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Not looking favorable.
The Missouri Supreme Court currently has a political makeup of five justices appointed by Republican governors and two justices appointed by a Democratic governor. This composition reflects a majority of Republican appointees on the court.
My belief is that the Republic will hold, but the Republicans are going to get strongly smacked over the next couple of years.
As time goes on and the economy gets worse, Trump will get less and less popular. And as he gets older and more flakey, it will be harder & harder to swallow the MAGA cope. His ego driven desire to put his mug & name on freaking everything is leading to a real fatigue, like any overtold joke or overplayed song.
Politicians, as a rule, tend to lack the backbone to venture their lives, fortunes, and sacred honor- but they do know how to sniff the winds and follow the zeitgeist. The GOP politicians are starting to note that the old, flakey blustery guy is very likely to turn them into ex-politicians next election.
Not all- some will cling to the MAGA cult until death, and some only until they get voted out. But many are even now mouthing platitudes of loyalty until they can find a way to jump ship safely.
I also suspect that the same increasing unpopularity will also result in a strong reluctance to make the guy a full dictator.
And surprise, surprise! The Indiana Senate defied Trump and voted against redistricting! I feel sorry for the law enforcement in the state that will have to deal with investigating the swatting calls and death threats to the rebelling senators.
On a happier note, the Hoosier state Senate rejected a similar bill 31-19.
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