(Note: if you're still of the opinion that the outcome of the 2020 Presidential election was determined by voter fraud, cheating or tampering with the totals, this blog post and linked article isn't for you. It barely intersects your worldview and I'm about as interested in debating you as I am in debating a Methodist and an old-school Unitarian about the Trinity.)
A few days ago, I linked to an interesting opinion piece that suggested the U. S. political culture is divided not into two halves, but four quarters. The writer, George Packer, did a good job of supporting his contention, too.
Of course, for every pundit claiming the sky is yellow, there's another one saying it's violet. Or that Mr. Packer has overlooked an entire demographic--
And there they are: Eric Levitz has discovered working-class Democrats. Yes, they do exist, and while I think the group contains far more "swing" voters (many of whom probably voted for Mr. Trump in 2016 due to a combination of feeling he was on their side and because he wasn't Ms. Clinton*) than he appears to, they're certainly the forgotten voters, just as much as their Republican counterparts -- and possibly more fickle.
It's fun to slap red and blue paint on every issue and every voter, but that's nowhere near the whole story. Elections, especially Presidential elections, are often decided by fairly narrow margins. The people way out at the extremes show up in the headlines, but it's the fat center of the distribution curve where the vote is won or lost. Candidates, parties and pundits would do well not to ignore them.
* The power of negative voting is often overlooked, but the effect of, "Oh, hell no, anybody but that person," votes is significant. While it's very satisfying to have a candidate who infuriates the other side, the problem is that they also can infuriate voters who might otherwise have been on your side.
BUILDING A 1:1 BALUN
1 year ago